Morocco vs Haiti — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
Morocco need only a draw to qualify but will chase the win to settle a live top-spot fight with Brazil on goal difference, and the squad-quality gulf against an eliminated Haiti is decisive. The spine that drew Brazil and beat Scotland is intact — Hakimi overlapping, Brahim Díaz threading the passes (two assists already) and Saibari, scorer of both Moroccan goals, leading the line — even with Aguerd and Ezzalzouli long absent from the squad. Haiti, the group's weakest side and beaten 3-0 by Brazil, will sit in a 5-4-1 around Wilson Isidor's pace. The caution against a rout is real: Morocco have been blunt finishers, scoring once in each game, and may rotate with qualification near-secured, so the lesson from Brazil's controlled 3-0 over this same Haiti block — patient quality, not chaos — points to a comfortable but measured win.
Full-time review
We tipped Morocco to win comfortably but warned their blunt finishing pointed to a measured margin; they were sharper than that, beating an eliminated Haiti 4-2 with Hakimi, Saïbari, Rahimi and Yassine all scoring, though Haiti's two goals — one a Wilson Isidor strike — made it looser than expected. The Morocco call landed well clear.
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