Haiti vs Scotland — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
Haiti are back at a World Cup for the first time since 1974, with almost no experience at this level. Scotland, with Robertson, McTominay, and Adams, is a well-organized side with Premier League quality throughout. The experience and quality difference is too large to overcome. Scotland should cruise to a comfortable win.
Scotland's Premier League-hardened spine of Robertson, McTominay and Adams simply operates a level above a Haiti side with negligible top-tier experience, which is why confidence reached 85.
The main caveat to a clean sheet is concentration on a humid Boston evening against a low block — but Scotland's quality should turn sustained pressure into the multi-goal margin predicted.
Full-time review
The Scotland tip and clean sheet both landed, but only just: McGinn's 28th-minute deflected finish was the difference in a 0-1 win, with Haiti dogged enough to edge possession after the break. The direction was right; the predicted 0-3 rout overestimated how easily Scotland would break a stubborn low block.
Predictions are probabilistic model output, not advice. For information only — 18+ / 21+ US. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available.