Turkey vs USA — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
A difficult call — Turkey's Arda Güler can be unplayable on his day, but USA at home with a packed stadium and Pulisic leading the line carries significant weight. Both teams will need a result here. The electric atmosphere of a near-sold-out American crowd could be the deciding factor.
This is a genuine 50-50 leaning on the home factor: a packed Seattle crowd behind Pulisic is the tiebreaker the model leans on with both sides needing points.
Güler's ceiling is the obvious danger — give Turkey's playmaker space and he can decide it himself, which is exactly why this sat at 60 and BTTS-Yes was attached.
Predictions are probabilistic model output, not advice. For information only — 18+ / 21+ US. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available.