Sweden vs Tunisia — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
Sweden's front line of Isak and Gyökeres (now leading the line at Arsenal) is among the most dangerous in the tournament. Tunisia made it out of the group stage in 2022 but Sweden's quality across all lines is superior. The Swedes should control this match and take all three points with relative ease.
Sweden's strike pairing of Isak and Gyökeres is among the tournament's most dangerous; against Tunisia's deep block the question is patience, not whether the chances arrive.
Tunisia's disciplined structure — which carried them out of the group in 2022 — is the obvious risk to a clean Swedish win and the reason the predicted margin stays modest.
Full-time review
The 5-1 blew past the predicted 2-0: Ayari struck twice with Isak, Gyökeres and Svanberg also on the scoresheet as Sweden's front line overwhelmed Tunisia's block. The main tip landed comfortably; only the BTTS-No call slipped, as Tunisia's reply on the day meant the clean sheet never came.
Predictions are probabilistic model output, not advice. For information only — 18+ / 21+ US. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available.