Spain vs Cape Verde — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
Spain enter as FIFA #1 ranked side. Even with Lamine Yamal injured and not expected back before the final group game, Pedri, Morata, and a deep squad of elite talent remain. Cape Verde makes their first-ever World Cup appearance. This should be a comfortable, dominant Spanish victory — a chance for La Roja to display their spectacular passing game on the world stage.
Even without Yamal — confirmed not fit to start — Spain's passing volume should pin Cape Verde deep, with Pedri dictating from a position the debutants have no answer for.
Yamal's absence is the only dent in an otherwise overwhelming case; at 95 the model still expects a dominant, multi-goal Spanish win. (Key-man note: matches.ts lists 'Óscar Macedo' for Cape Verde, who is not in the squad — Ryan Mendes is the realistic key man used here.)
Predictions are probabilistic model output, not advice. For information only — 18+ / 21+ US. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available.