Iraq vs Norway — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
Norway arrives with one weapon: Erling Haaland — arguably the most lethal striker on the planet. Iraq qualifies for their first World Cup since 1986 and faces a completely different level of opposition. Haaland is primed for a landmark performance. Expect Norway to win convincingly.
Norway are essentially a delivery system for Haaland — get the ball into the box and he punishes hesitation, which is why the anytime-scorer line is short and the result rarely in doubt.
Iraq's level gap is stark at their first World Cup since 1986; their realistic ceiling is keeping the margin respectable rather than threatening a result, supporting BTTS-No.
Full-time review
The Norway call landed at its 85: Haaland struck twice in the first half as billed (the anytime-scorer line in), and after Aymen Hussein's header pulled Iraq to 2-1, Østigard and a fourth made it 4-1. The tip and over 2.5 both came through; only the BTTS-No / clean-sheet lean slipped when Iraq found their goal.
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