Belgium vs Egypt — Prediction
Calibrated from squad strength, form, rest and venue. Higher means the model has seen this pattern resolve consistently — never a certainty.
The analysis
Belgium possesses De Bruyne, Lukaku, and a squad full of Premier League talent. Egypt leans heavily on Salah but lacks the squad depth Belgium has. With Belgium's superior squad depth and tournament experience, they should control this match from start to finish.
Belgium's edge is depth — De Bruyne and Lukaku headline a squad with quality across every line, whereas Egypt's attacking threat funnels almost entirely through Salah.
That single-point reliance is also the risk the BTTS-Yes line respects: give Salah one half-chance and Egypt can score against anyone, even in a game they lose.
Full-time review
The 1-1 made the upset risk real: Emam Ashour's superb long-range opener (19') gave Egypt a half-time lead, only for substitute Lukaku to force a Mohamed Hany own goal (66', from Meunier's cross) seconds after coming on. The Belgium win missed — the squad-depth case never turned Belgium's control into a winner against a Salah-led Egypt that defended its lead bravely.
Predictions are probabilistic model output, not advice. For information only — 18+ / 21+ US. If gambling affects you or someone you know, support is available.